Elections 2018: winners and losers


Reporting of Roman correspondence
Of Wolf Gori
Boom of the “League” and the “Movement 5 position” (M5s), limited growth of “Fratelli di Italia”, sharp decline of "Forza Italia" and historic collapse of the "Democratic Party". Cyclone “Burian”, after hitting the streets of our country, it bursts into political buildings, changing the characteristics of the Parliament which emerges shocked by the latest electoral round.
The vote of 4 March 2018 in fact it marks the end of classic bipolarism, bringing to the surface the feelings and requests of the "real country". In that sense, it represents a memorable watershed for the political history of our country as seen by Italian voters, in the wake of a now consolidated European trend, definitively turning our backs on the Europe of Brussels and the traditional "moderate" parties to embrace and reward the two main sovereignist and anti-system groups, “League” and “Movement 5 position” (M5s), led by two leaders pointed out by the local and international establishment as "unpresentable" and whose political affirmation, until recently, it was considered entirely utopian. Below we report the overall statistical data divided by Chamber and Senate.
Chamber of Deputies
The centre-right “Lega” coalition, “Forza Italia”, “Brothers of Italy” and “We with Italy”, with the 37%, got it overall 260 seats; the “Movement 5 position”, the most voted party with the 32,68% of preferences, he got 221 seats; the “Democratic Party” with the 22,85%, 112 seats; last, “Free and Equal”, slightly exceeding the barrier of 3%, he managed to win 14 seats.
Senate of the Republic
In the Senate, of the 315 total seats, 135 they went to the centre-right coalition which reached the 37,49%, 112 to the “Five Star Movement” which obtained the 32,22%, 57 to the “Democratic Party” with the 22,99% and finally 4 to “Liberi e Uguali” which here too slightly exceeded the minimum threshold while waiting for the 3,28%. If that's not possible, at the moment, outline certain scenarios, it is certainly possible to decree the winners and losers of the political elections to elect the government number 66 of the history of the Italian Republic.
The first undisputed winner is the “League” by Matteo Salvini who surpasses “Forza Italia” and quadruples his result compared to the elections of 5 years ago, passing from 4% to almost the 18%. Statement that entails the changing of the guard at the helm of the "Centre-Right" with the abdication of Silvio Berlusconi, which sees the leadership taken away by the leader of the Northern League.
The centre-right that emerges victorious at the polls is in fact a coalition led by the "Lega" and no longer by "Forza Italia" and Salvini's clear victory represents a resounding slap in the face to the hypotheses of broad agreements aired in recent weeks. With the current political framework, the numbers to be able to engineer any kind of political "mess" are completely lacking.
The second winner, above expectations, is the “Movement 5 place” which recorded a real boom, passing from 25,5% of the 2013 al 32,5 and thus becoming the first most voted party in the hemicycle.
It is interesting to underline how Grillo's party has gained votes in the South where the League, nordic, it was "unvotable" and therefore probably "playing" on easier ground and thus intercepting many votes "lost" by the Democratic Party and Forza Italia. Luigi Di Maio and his candidates in fact win Puglia (24 colleges a 0), Campania, Sicily (28 colleges a 0), Sardinia and Calabria.
The leader of the M5s also had the satisfaction of winning by a landslide 60% against the number one enemy of his electoral campaign, Vittorio Sgarbi, candidate against him in his home constituency of Acerra.
The third winner, albeit in a much more limited way, it is Giorgia Meloni's party, Brothers of Italy, who got the 4,35%, a result a little below expectations, which was eroded by the great success of the League outside its usual territorial strongholds, but which still represents a leap forward if we consider that in the last electoral round of 2013 FDI had obtained 660.000 votes in the House, equal to 1,96%, e 590.000 votes in the Senate (1.92%), arriving to elect nine deputies and no senators.
Now we come to the losers. The urn, overall, they attest to a Left at an all-time low In the first place, the big loser is the “Democratic Party” who with his secretary Matteo Renzi fell from 40% of the European elections and from 25,43% of the 2013, under the guidance of Pier Luigi Bersani, to a poor man 18,7%. Another fact to understand the extent of Renzi's defeat: Bersani in 2013 he had obtained, between the House and the Senate, 290 seats, Renzi just scrapes some today 169.
It's impossible not to resign in the face of a debacle like this. Always in the center-left breakfast, it was also a flop for Emma Bonino's party, “+Europe”, which stops at 2.5%, well below the barrier threshold set at 3%. Ma, paradoxically, Bonino was thrown from the door and managed to get back through the window, managing to impose herself in the senatorial college of Rome 1 with over the 38% of you on the centre-right candidate Federico Iadicicco, stopped at 32%.
Bitter elections also for “Free and equal”, the party made up of the splinter groups of the Democratic Party, Pierluigi Bersani, Massimo d'Alema, Laura Boldrini and Pietro Grasso who ranks at 3,5%, a meager result, far below expectations.
Even in the winning breakfast of the "Centrodestra", however, there are losers: the first, it is the party of “Forza Italia” which passes from 21,56 of the 2013 al 14,5%, a figure much lower than the bar of 20% posed by its president Silvio Berlusconi, which also sounds like a clear rejection by Italians of his anachronistic "centrist" policies, prone to Brussels bureaucrats.
The second loser is “We with Italy”, the so-called “Fourth leg” which, it's worth saying, “ends up upside down”. Fitto's new liberal-Catholic party, Cesa and Lupi, in fact it doesn't even reach the 2%, a catastrophic result for the "Christian Democrats of the third millennium" who aspired not to the "minimum wage" of 3% but even to 6% so as to be able to assume the role of the balance of power in the decisive post-vote alliances.
It also disappoints."Casapound Italy" That, despite the strong media exposure, it falls below the objective set by its leader Simone Di Stefano who commented as follows immediately after the polls closed: “Below 1% would be a defeat, we aspire to overcome the barrier. We have grown a lot in the last month. We were determined not to welcome provocations”.
It ends in a sort of “draw”, In the end, the performance of thePeople of the Family” by Mario Adinolfi who in his electoral debut at national level obtained the 0,66% with approx 220.000 votes. A result, slightly below that of “Casapound”, which appears more than dignified taking into account the total media blackout suffered by Adinolfi's party.
In the end, to complete the picture, we highlight some illustrious defeats ad person: Massimo D'Alema, arrived last in his historic college of Nardò in Salento; the president of the chamber Pietro Grasso, he was also fourth in Palermo; the Minister of Cultural Heritage, Dario Franceschini, defeated in Ferrara by the centre-right candidate; the Minister of the Interior Marco Minniti, third in the race won by the Five Star Movement; Education Minister Valeria Fedeli also loses, than in the college of Pisa, comes second behind the centre-right candidate Rosellina Sbrana. Torpedoed, with a miserable 4,55%, also the president of the Chamber Laura Boldrini candidate with "Liberi e Uguali" in the single-member election for the Milan Chamber where the winner was Bruno Tabacci of the centre-left with the 41%. Many of these characters were rescued with the so-called "parachute colleges".
*The opinions are the author's and do not necessarily coincide with those of this site.
 

Share

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *