Four hundred million citizens to decide the future of the Old Continent. The European elections which will take place between 23 and the 26 maggio (in Italy we only vote on this day, Sunday) are the most important in the history of the European Union. The wind of sovereignism and nationalism is blowing strongly in several member countries: a, the United Kingdom, is about to leave the company and it is the biggest blow Brussels has received in its ten-year history. But the forces traditionally linked to the Union do not want the dream built on the ashes and rubble of the Second World War to fall to pieces.
The League can become the largest Eurosceptic party in the European Parliament
If in the 90s the then 'Northern League' was the 'secessionist' party par excellence, today under the leadership of Matteo Salvini the national and in some ways international spirit of the Northern League is at its highest. I polls they give the League the lead (32,2%, with approx 10 points ahead of the other two main forces, M5s e Pd) and the 26 May essentially will be played for second place. Right, it remains to be seen how large Salvini's victory will be. For at least two reasons.
The specter of government crisis
The first, for the inevitable internal repercussions that the electoral result will have on the balance of the yellow-green government. Tensions with Luigi Di Maio and the Movement 5 stars in recent weeks have followed one another in aescalation of mutual hits, but it is clear that if the balance of power after the electoral count were sensationally reversed compared to the outcome of the policies of 4 March 2018, Salvini could take the plunge by perhaps asking for a government reshuffle or even bringing down the executive.
The blunted rhetoric to 'change the EU from within'
The second reason must be read in a European key and is, Perhaps, the most interesting aspect. According to surveys and projections, in the European Parliament the League will be the first Eurosceptic force in terms of number of deputies, between 25 and i 30. The proclamations of Salvini and his lieutenants against Brussels, the "bureaucrats", and at times even against the euro in recent weeks, have given way to a less aggressive rhetoric more directed at change from within the EU instead of its radical transformation or dissolution.
Salvini, like any politician, he looks very often at polls and the mood of the electoral masses. Well, also on the Euroscepticism front, he will do his calculations. Come we reported here on update, Italians' feeling towards the EU and Europe is quite schizophrenic. The trust and approval percentage is at its lowest, but that of those who would like an Italexit is even lower. Because of this, all leaders who want to change it status quo of the Union seek agreements to find a common path and project. To date, it seems that the Eurosceptic pole will be built on the Salvini-Orbán axis.
The specter of secessionists in Europe
If the League has long abandoned the secessionist spirit, There are European countries where independence movements are becoming increasingly influential.
Let's start from Madrid. The socialists of Pedro Sanchez they won the elections of 28 April, but to govern they could be forced to ally with one of the Catalan independence parties. Among the conditions for a government pact would be the separation of Catalonia from Spain with the consequent exit of the rich Spanish region from the EU. For now, however, it is political fiction.
A similar autonomist spirit drives the economic demands of Bavaria in Germany. According to the German Constitutional Court, but, a hypothetical referendum on the independence of the rich Land would be inadmissible.
The advent of Brexit has also fanned the flames of intolerance Scottish and Northern Irish. The referendum of 2014 in the first case, and the armed struggle of the IRA in the second (except for the regurgitations, come on tragic implications of recent weeks), the divorce in the United Kingdom is fueling the pro-European spirit of the two countries.
source – https://news.upday.com/it/lue-al-voto-tra-sovranismo-ed-europeismo/
